- The relationship between the price level and the level of Real GDP is inverse.
3 Reasons AD is downward sloping
1. Real-Balances Effect
- When the price level is high, households and businesses cannot afford to purchase as much output.
- When the price level is low, households and businesses can afford to purchase more output.
2. Interest-Rate Effect
- A higher price level increases the interest rate which tends to discourage investment.
- A lower price level decreases the interest rate which tends to encourage investment
3. Foreign-Purchase Effect
- A higher price level increases the demand for relatively cheaper imports
- A lower price level decreases the foreign demand for relatively cheaper exports
Shifts in Aggregate Demand (AD)
There are 2 parts to a shift in AD:
- A change in C (Personal Consumption), Ig (Gross Private Investment), G (Government Spending), and/or Xn (Net Exports)
- A multiplier effect that produces a greater change than the original change in the 4 components
An INCREASE in AD = AD shift to the RIGHT
A DECREASE in AD = AD shift to the LEFT
Consumption
- Household spending is affected by:
- Consumer wealth
- More Wealth = More Spending (AD shift to the right)
- Less Wealth = Less Spending (AD shift to the left)
- Consumer Expectations
- Positive Expectations = More Spending (AD shift to the right)
- Negative Expectations = Less Spending (AD shift to the left)
- Household Indebtedness
- Less Debt = More Sending (AD shift to the right)
- More Debt = Less Spending (AD shift to the left)
- Taxes
- Less Taxes = More Spending (AD shift to the right)
- More Taxes = Less Spending (AD shift to the left)
Gross Private Investment
Investment Spending is sensitive to:
- The Real Interest Rate
- Lower Real Interest Rate = More investment (AD shift to the right)
- Higher Real Interest Rate = Less investment (AD shift to the left)
- Expected Returns
- Higher expected returns = More investment (AD shift to the right)
- Lower expected returns = Less Investment (AD shift to the left)
- Expected returns are influenced by:
- Expectations of future profitability
- Technology
- Degree of Excess Capacity (Existing Stock Capital)
- Business Taxes
Government Spending
- More government spending (AD shift to the right)
- Less government spending (AD shift to the left)
Net Exports
- Exchange Rates (international value of the dollar)
- Strong Dollar = More imports and fewer exports (AD shift to the left)
- Weak Dollar = Fewer imports and more exports (AD shift to the right)
- Relative Income
- Strong Foreign Economics = More exports (AD shift to the right)
- Weak Foreign Economics = Less exports (AD shift to the left)
Aggregate Supply
Aggregate Supply: The level of Real GDP (Real GDP) that firms will purchase at each price level (PL)
Long-Run vs. Short-Run
Long-Run
- Period of time where input prices are completely flexible and adjust to changes in the price level
- In the long-run, the level of Real GDP supplies is independent of the price-level.
Short-Run
- Period of time where input prices are sticky and do not adjust to change in the price-level.
- In the short-run, the level of Real GDP supplied is directly related to the price level.
Long-Run Aggregate Supply (LRAS)
- The long-run aggregate supply or LRAS marks the level of full employment in the economy (analogous to PPC) changes in SRAS
- An INCREASE in SRAS is seen as a shift to the RIGHT
- A DECREASE in SRAS is seen as a shift to the LEFT
- The key to understanding shifts in SRAS is per unit cost of production
- Per Unit Cost of Production = Total Inputs/Total Outputs
Determinants of SRAS (all of the following affect unit production cost)
- Input Prices
- Domestic Resources Prices
- Wages (75% of all business costs)
- Cost of Capital
- Raw Material (commodity prices)
- Foreign Resource Prices
- Strong Dollar = Lower Foreign Resources Prices
- Weak Dollar = Higher Foreign resources Prices
- Market Power
- Monopolies and cartels that control the use of those resources
INCREASE in Resource Price = SR shift to the RIGHT
DECREASE in Resource Price = SR shift to the LEFT
Productivity = Total Inputs / Total Outputs
- More productivity = Lower unit-production cost (SRAS shift to the right)
- Less Productivity = Higher unit-production cost (SRAS shift to the left)
Legal-Institutional Environment
- Taxes and Subsidies
- Taxes (money to government) on business increase per unit production cost (SRAS shift to the left)
- Subsidies (money from the government) to businesses reduce per unit production cost (SRAS shift to the right)
- Government Regulation
- Government regulation creates a cost of compliance (SRAS shift to the left)
- Deregulation reduces compliance cost (SRAS shift to the right)
The AS/AD Model
The AS/AD Model: The equilibrium of AS and AD determine current output (Real GDP) and the price level
Full employment equilibrium: Exists where AD intersects SRAS and LRAS at the same point
Recessionary GDP: Exists when the equilibrium occurs below the full employment output
Changes in AD
- Consumption
- An increase in Consumption results in:
- An AD shift to the right
- An increase in Real GDP and Price Level
- A drop in the unemployment rate
- A rise in the inflation rate
- A decrease in Consumption results in:
- An AD shift to the left
- An decrease in Real GDP and Price Level
- A decrease in the unemployment rate
- A fall in the inflation rate
- Gross Domestic Investment
- An increase in Gross Domestic Investment results in:
- An AD shift to the right
- An increase in Real GDP and Price Level
- A drop in the unemployment rate
- A rise in the inflation rate
- A decreases in Gross Domestic Investment results in:
- An AD shift to the left
- A decrease in Real GDP and Price Level
- A rise in the unemployment rate
- A fall in the inflation rate
- Government Spending
- An increase in Government Spending results in:
- An AD shift to the right
- An increase in Real GDP and Price Level
- A drop in the unemployment rate
- A rise in the inflation rate
- A decreases in Government Spending results in:
- An AD shift to the left
- A decrease in Real GDP and Price Level
- A rise in the unemployment rate
- A fall in the inflation rate
- Net Exports
- An increase in Net Exports results in:
- An AD shift to the right
- An increase in Real GDP and Price Level
- A drop in the unemployment rate
- A rise in the inflation rate
- A decreases in Net Exports results in:
- An AD shift to the left
- A decrease in Real GDP and Price Level
- A rise in the unemployment rate
- A fall in the inflation rate
3 Ranges of the Aggregate Supply Curve
- Horizontal/Keynesian: Includes only levels of Real output that are less than the full employment output.
- Implies that the economy is in a recession, therefore you have a decrease in real output
- Vertical/Classical Range: The economy reaches its full capacity real output
- Intermediate Range: There is an expansion of real output price level
- Per Unit Cost of Production = Total Inputs/Total Outputs
Determinants of SRAS (all of the following affect unit production cost)
- Domestic Resources Prices
- Wages (75% of all business costs)
- Cost of Capital
- Raw Material (commodity prices)
- Foreign Resource Prices
- Strong Dollar = Lower Foreign Resources Prices
- Weak Dollar = Higher Foreign resources Prices
- Market Power
- Monopolies and cartels that control the use of those resources
Legal-Institutional Environment
- Taxes (money to government) on business increase per unit production cost (SRAS shift to the left)
- Subsidies (money from the government) to businesses reduce per unit production cost (SRAS shift to the right)
- Government regulation creates a cost of compliance (SRAS shift to the left)
- Deregulation reduces compliance cost (SRAS shift to the right)
The AS/AD Model
Changes in AD
- An increase in Consumption results in:
- An AD shift to the right
- An increase in Real GDP and Price Level
- A drop in the unemployment rate
- A rise in the inflation rate
- A decrease in Consumption results in:
- An AD shift to the left
- An decrease in Real GDP and Price Level
- A decrease in the unemployment rate
- A fall in the inflation rate
- An increase in Gross Domestic Investment results in:
- An AD shift to the right
- An increase in Real GDP and Price Level
- A drop in the unemployment rate
- A rise in the inflation rate
- A decreases in Gross Domestic Investment results in:
- An AD shift to the left
- A decrease in Real GDP and Price Level
- A rise in the unemployment rate
- A fall in the inflation rate
- An increase in Government Spending results in:
- An AD shift to the right
- An increase in Real GDP and Price Level
- A drop in the unemployment rate
- A rise in the inflation rate
- A decreases in Government Spending results in:
- An AD shift to the left
- A decrease in Real GDP and Price Level
- A rise in the unemployment rate
- A fall in the inflation rate
- An increase in Net Exports results in:
- An AD shift to the right
- An increase in Real GDP and Price Level
- A drop in the unemployment rate
- A rise in the inflation rate
- A decreases in Net Exports results in:
- An AD shift to the left
- A decrease in Real GDP and Price Level
- A rise in the unemployment rate
- A fall in the inflation rate
3 Ranges of the Aggregate Supply Curve
- Horizontal/Keynesian: Includes only levels of Real output that are less than the full employment output.
- Implies that the economy is in a recession, therefore you have a decrease in real output
- Vertical/Classical Range: The economy reaches its full capacity real output
- Intermediate Range: There is an expansion of real output price level
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