Tuesday, March 4, 2014

Economics: Unit 3-Chapter 11 & 16: Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply and Determinants & LRAS vs. SRAS

Aggregate Demand: Shows the amount of real GDP that the private, public, and foreign sector collectively desire to purchase at each possible price level.
  • The relationship between the price level and the level of Real GDP is inverse. 

Aggregate Demand Curve




3 Reasons AD is downward sloping


1. Real-Balances Effect
  • When the price level is high, households and businesses cannot afford to purchase as much output.
  • When the price level is low, households and businesses can afford to purchase more output.

2. Interest-Rate Effect
  • A higher price level increases the interest rate which tends to discourage investment.
  • A lower price level decreases the interest rate which tends to encourage investment

3. Foreign-Purchase Effect
  • A higher price level increases the demand for relatively cheaper imports
  • A lower price level decreases the foreign demand for relatively cheaper exports


Shifts in Aggregate Demand (AD)




There are 2 parts to a shift in AD:

  1. A change in C (Personal Consumption), Ig (Gross Private Investment), G (Government Spending), and/or Xn (Net Exports)
  2. A multiplier effect that produces a greater change than the original change in the 4 components

An INCREASE in AD = AD shift to the RIGHT
A DECREASE in AD = AD shift to the LEFT


Consumption

  • Household spending is affected by: 
    • Consumer wealth
      • More Wealth = More Spending (AD shift to the right)
      • Less Wealth = Less Spending (AD shift to the left)
    • Consumer Expectations
      • Positive Expectations = More Spending (AD shift to the right)
      • Negative Expectations = Less Spending (AD shift to the left)
    • Household Indebtedness
      • Less Debt = More Sending (AD shift to the right)
      • More Debt = Less Spending (AD shift to the left)
    • Taxes
      • Less Taxes = More Spending (AD shift to the right)
      • More Taxes = Less Spending (AD shift to the left)

Gross Private Investment


Investment Spending is sensitive to:
  • The Real Interest Rate
    • Lower Real Interest Rate = More investment (AD shift to the right)
    • Higher Real Interest Rate = Less investment (AD shift to the left)
  • Expected Returns
    • Higher expected returns = More investment (AD shift to the right)
    • Lower expected returns = Less Investment (AD shift to the left)
    • Expected returns are influenced by:
      • Expectations of future profitability
      • Technology
      • Degree of Excess Capacity (Existing Stock Capital)
      • Business Taxes

Government Spending

  • More government spending (AD shift to the right)
  • Less government spending (AD shift to the left)

Net Exports


Net Exports are sensitive to:
  • Exchange Rates (international value of the dollar)
    • Strong Dollar = More imports and fewer exports (AD shift to the left)
    • Weak Dollar = Fewer imports and more exports (AD shift to the right)
  • Relative Income
    • Strong Foreign Economics = More exports (AD shift to the right)
    • Weak Foreign Economics = Less exports (AD shift to the left)

Aggregate Supply


Aggregate Supply: The level of Real GDP (Real GDP) that firms will purchase at each price level (PL)

Long-Run vs. Short-Run


Long-Run
  • Period of time where input prices are completely flexible and adjust to changes in the price level
  • In the long-run, the level of Real GDP supplies is independent of the price-level.
Short-Run
  • Period of time where input prices are sticky and do not adjust to change in the price-level.
  • In the short-run, the level of Real GDP supplied is directly related to the price level.

Short-Run Graph



Long-Run Graph



Short-Run and Long-Run Integrated Together




Long-Run Aggregate Supply (LRAS)
  • The long-run aggregate supply or LRAS marks the level of full employment in the economy (analogous to PPC) changes in SRAS
  • An INCREASE in SRAS is seen as a shift to the RIGHT
  • A DECREASE in SRAS is seen as a shift to the LEFT
  • The key to understanding shifts in SRAS is per unit cost of production
    • Per Unit Cost of Production = Total Inputs/Total Outputs

Determinants of SRAS (all of the following affect unit production cost)

  • Input Prices
    • Domestic Resources Prices
      • Wages (75% of all business costs)
      • Cost of Capital
      • Raw Material (commodity prices)
    • Foreign Resource Prices
      • Strong Dollar = Lower Foreign Resources Prices
      • Weak Dollar = Higher Foreign resources Prices
    • Market Power
      • Monopolies and cartels that control the use of those resources 

INCREASE in Resource Price = SR shift to the RIGHT
DECREASE in Resource Price = SR shift to the LEFT


Productivity = Total Inputs / Total Outputs
  • More productivity = Lower unit-production cost (SRAS shift to the right)
  • Less Productivity = Higher unit-production cost (SRAS shift to the left)

Legal-Institutional Environment

  • Taxes and Subsidies
    • Taxes (money to government) on business increase per unit production cost (SRAS shift to the left)
    • Subsidies (money from the government)  to businesses reduce per unit production cost (SRAS shift to the right)
  • Government Regulation
    • Government regulation creates a cost of compliance (SRAS shift to the left)
    • Deregulation reduces compliance cost (SRAS shift to the right)


The AS/AD Model



The AS/AD Model: The equilibrium of AS and AD determine current output (Real GDP) and the price level

Full employment equilibrium: Exists where AD intersects SRAS and LRAS at the same point

Recessionary GDP: Exists when the equilibrium occurs below the full employment output

Inflationary GAP: Exists when equilibrium occurs beyond full employment output




Changes in AD

  • Consumption
    • An increase in Consumption results in:
      • An AD shift to the right
      • An increase in Real GDP and Price Level
      • A drop in the unemployment rate
      • A rise in the inflation rate
    • A decrease in Consumption results in:
      • An AD shift to the left
      • An decrease in Real GDP and Price Level
      • A decrease in the unemployment rate
      • A fall in the inflation rate
  • Gross Domestic Investment
    • An increase in Gross Domestic Investment results in:
      • An AD shift to the right
      • An increase in Real GDP and Price Level
      • A drop in the unemployment rate
      • A rise in the inflation rate
    • A decreases in Gross Domestic Investment results in:
      • An AD shift to the left
      • A decrease in Real GDP and Price Level
      • A rise in the unemployment rate
      • A fall in the inflation rate
  • Government Spending
    • An increase in Government Spending results in:
      • An AD shift to the right
      • An increase in Real GDP and Price Level
      • A drop in the unemployment rate
      • A rise in the inflation rate
    • A decreases in Government Spending results in:
      • An AD shift to the left
      • A decrease in Real GDP and Price Level
      • A rise in the unemployment rate
      • A fall in the inflation rate
  • Net Exports
    • An increase in Net Exports results in:
      • An AD shift to the right
      • An increase in Real GDP and Price Level
      • A drop in the unemployment rate
      • A rise in the inflation rate
    • A decreases in Net Exports results in:
      • An AD shift to the left
      • A decrease in Real GDP and Price Level
      • A rise in the unemployment rate
      • A fall in the inflation rate




3 Ranges of the Aggregate Supply Curve

  1. Horizontal/Keynesian: Includes only levels of Real output that are less than the full employment output.
    • Implies that the economy is in a recession, therefore you have a decrease in real output
  2. Vertical/Classical Range: The economy reaches its full capacity real output
  3. Intermediate Range: There is an expansion of real output price level


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